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Atlanta Hawks Miami Heat Betting Pick Preview

January 18th, 2026
 

Hawks Heat Pick

Atlanta Hawks (+6.5) over Miami Heat

If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Tuesday when the Atlanta Hawks and the Miami Heat meet at AmericanAirlines Arena.

Oddsmakers currently have the Heat listed as 6½-point favorites versus the Hawks, while the game’s total is sitting at 189.

The Hawks were a 100-98 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Kings. They failed to cover the 9.5–point spread as favorites, while the total score (198) made winners of UNDER bettors.

In their last action, Miami was a 99-96 loser on the road against the Bulls. They failed to cover the 2.5–point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (195) was profitable news for OVER bettors.

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My Pick is on the Atlanta Hawks as the Heat have been on a 3 game lossing streak and practied on Monday with no Chris Bosh, LeBron James and Dwyane Wade who have knee and ankle injuries. Wade says he is a go for tonight’s gam,e but the other tow are game time decisions. With those injuries to the core 3 I like the Hawks to keep this a close game and cover the 6.5 point spread.

BETTING TRENDS
ATLANTA HAWKS
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Atlanta’s last 16 games when playing Miami
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta’s last 8 games when playing on the road against Miami
Atlanta is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
Atlanta is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
MIAMI HEAT
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami’s last 5 games
Miami is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami’s last 5 games at home
Miami is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Miami is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Miami’s last 16 games when playing Atlanta
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami’s last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta

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