Patriots Steelers Pick
Point Spread - New England Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-4.5)
The Pittsburgh Steelers host the New England Patriots in this Sunday night football matchup at Heinz Field. The Patriots are coming off an embarrasing loss to the Cleveland Browns in which they lost 34-14 and were outplayed in every aspect of this game. Since 2026, the Patriots have lost back to back games just twice, and will have a very tough task in avoiding a third stretch of back to back losses against a tough Steeler defence.
Following a loss in the regular season over the past 8 seasons, which includes 21 of them, Brady has completed nearly 67% of his passes with 42 touchdowns to just 10 interceptions, which is good for a 105.7 quarterback rating.
The Steelers rush defense is by far the best in the league this season, and is on pace for one of the best rush defending teams ever assembled in the NFL. They have allowed an average of just 2.6 yards per attempt, which is .7 ypc better than the next best team, and allow just 58.2 yards per game, which is 22.7 yards fewer than the second best team.
Luckily for the Patriots, they love to throw the ball with Brady, and don't rely on their run game to win games. For the Patriots to have a chance in this game, they must get Wes Welker involved more in the passing game, as he hasn't scored a touchdown since week 2, and has just 355 yards on the year.
Expert Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers (-4.5)
The Patriots won't be able to avoid back to back losses on the road against a great Steeler team. They won't be able to run the ball, and the Steelers will double Welker all game long. Couple that with the Patriots 29th ranked defense, and you get a Steeler romp.
Final Score: Steelers 27 Patriots 13
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